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Best Books of the Month, September 2012: People love statistics. Statistics, however, do not always love
them back. The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver's brilliant and elegant tour of the modern science-slash-art of
forecasting, shows what happens when Big Data meets human nature. Baseball, weather forecasting, earthquake prediction,
economics, and polling: In all of these areas, Silver finds predictions gone bad thanks to biases, vested interests, and
overconfidence. But he also shows where sophisticated forecasters have gotten it right (and occasionally been ignored to
boot). In today's metrics-saturated world, Silver's book is a timely and readable reminder that statistics are only as
good as the people who wield them. --Darryl Campbell
Silver doesn't offer one comprehensive theory for what makes a good prediction in his interdisciplinary
tour of forecasting. But the book is a useful gloss on the tricky business of making predictions correctly. —Chris
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